Either the national polls are under weighing Trump for the 3rd time or as the AAA+ pollster in Iowa, Ann Selzer has found that it's Harris who is being under weighted in the national polls, and more importantly in the midwestern states.
If Trump wins Iowa with 50% or less Harris has already won WI,MI,PA,AZ,NC,GA and NV.
Selzer found She is up 27 points with white women, 30 points with older white women. Then there is Gen Z.
Trump won Iowa by +8 points in 2020, He still lost the blue wall, AZ, NV and GA.
If Trump wins Iowa with 50% or less Harris has already won WI,MI,PA,AZ,NC,GA and NV.
Selzer found She is up 27 points with white women, 30 points with older white women. Then there is Gen Z.
Trump won Iowa by +8 points in 2020, He still lost the blue wall, AZ, NV and GA.